NASCAR Betting by the Numbers: Homestead-Miami Championship Predictions & Picks

Together with the 2018 NASCAR year coming to an end this weekend in Homestead-Miami, race fans will have their final chance to make some additional cash for the next 3 weeks. Not only is the race convinced to be an exciting one, the 2018 NASCAR Champion will be crowned. This means, NASCAR fans have the joy of two distinct major gambling opportunities to make the most of.

While Vegas has introduced their odds for each driver to win the Ford EcoBoost 400 in Homestead-Miami, I have compiled data that reveals slightly different outcomes. By choosing to ignore past year’s performances at this course and instead focus on season finish averages according to 1.5 mile trail performances, I have produced a listing of drivers which are most likely to win this weekend. This list also enables us to evaluate each motorist’s gaming yield based on their Vegas odds.

Vegas Odds
Kevin Harvick: 11/4
Kyle Busch: 11/4
Kyle Larson: 3/1
Martin Truex Jr.: 6/1
Joey Logano: 10/1
Brad Keselowski: 15/1
Chase Elliott: 20/1
Denny Hamlin: 20/1
Clint Bowyer: 25/1
Kurt Busch: 25/1
Eric Jones: 30/1
Aric Almirola: 40/1
Ryan Blaney: 40/1
Austin Dillon: 80/1
Jimmie Johnson: 80/1
Daniel Su??rez: 100/1
1.5 Mile Finish Averages
Kyle Busch: 5.4 (2) ^1
Joey Logano: 7.25 (5) ^3
Martin Truex Jr.: 8.9 (4) ^1
Kevin Harvick: 9.3 (1) v3
Kyle Larson: 9.6 (3) v2
Brad Keselowski: 9.7 (6) —
Austin Dillon: 10.4 (14) ^7
Eric Jones: 10.6 (11) ^3
Aric Almirola: 12.6 (12) ^3
Ryan Blaney: 12.7 (13) ^3
Clint Bowyer: 13 (9) v2
Kurt Busch: 13 (10) v2
Chase Elliott: 13.9 (7) v6
Denny Hamlin: 14.8 (8) v6
Jimmie Johnson: 17.6 (15) —
Daniel Su??rez: 19.25 (16) —

Read more: sportscoverage.net

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